Labor to take 380 seats ?

July 4th

Tories with less than 100 seats would be hilarious.

Closer than anticipated but labour majority that can get thing through.

Hung Parliament

Reform will get 5 million votes …. but no seats.
It’s a very odd do this election. Why did he go now, it’s like the charge of the Light Brigade, but…..?

If you truly believe that stick a large amount of money on it because good odds can be had. Labour majority is 1/7.

He's probably gone now because Rwanda ain't going to work by July as he promised, and a lot of economists are forecasting slight rises before another fall in inflation.
Won't matter to him, he'll quit as an MP after the election.

Starmer will be replaced by someone like Jess Philips within the 1st 12 months of his tenure as PM.

3-1 to Labour

Sunak and his wife’s wealth has increased by £125 million since last year so probably feels he has enough in his pension pot to take early retirement.

I have been voting since I was 18. It’s all a smokescreen because the Tories only benefit the top 1% and labour the bottom 1%. The UK is practically bankrupt post pandemic, supporting both wars and the boat people. For the first time in my life I won’t vote and living in Thailand the government refuses to increase your state pension annually although does allow it in other countries which seems to me very unfair. I’m now 63 so will have to make some big decisions when I hit 67. Maybe live in UK for 6 months Thailand 6 months or sell my house in Harrogate and use the collateral in conjunction with the state pension

I thought shit I’m gonna have to sell up …finally move to Monaco and transfer my capital to the Monaco Building Society…then a faint voice whispered ..,” you’ve got no bloody money …..now go and take Ratboy and Ruby out and let me sleep”.

never thought i,d ever say this but if i was younger i,d get to fuck out of this country as quick as i was able to do. might be an age thing but every single thing i see and hear annoy me so much from politics right down to just walking down the streets that look dirty and vandalised which was the old word for graffiti or modern art. rough sleepers around, enrichers on every corner, more and more rules and regs you have to follow an thats before you get to the cost of living caused by rip off britain. then some think labour are going to make a difference even with a landside number of seats but less than half the population voting for them.

After watching the BBC busily running round getting various opinions from here, there and everywhere the theme seems to be CHANGE and indeed the Labour party have adopted that as their slogan.
If I am voting on change, I have to be convinced that it is change for the better and not just for change's sake.
I want to know firstly is there going to be change in the triple lock and, if so, what is that change.
On other changes I want to know how much it's gonna set me back.
That's my starting point.
Anybody who lands on my doorstep will get two simple questions before I open my ears to their respective bullshit.
One on the triple lock and the other on whether the reduction in national insurance is going to stay. One question is for me as a pensioner and the other for my wife who is a worker.

Some mush on TV saying the Cons don't want the responsibility of sorting the blood scandal.
Out. And hunt saying that will mean no autumn budget tax cuts.
Basically bailing out n leaving the majority in the shit.

The Tories might realise there is no money for tax cuts, there is the PPE Scandal to sort out, Post Office scandal the list is endless, then there is Rwanda which Labour will cancel but ar what cost, the Rwandan government will want compensation.

He can't deliver on any further promises he has made. He has done the right thing for the country a new mandate is required.

Plenty of cheaper places to live but it’s wether you can adapt to the climate and the local food, Thailand is becoming more expensive, you can live in the Philippines and still qualify for the State Pension increases. The main issue is your health, try getting long term health insurance if your are older than 60.

if all labour can offer is just lets get the tories out and a promise of change and nothing to back it up they might not get the support they think they will. cannot see what they are going to promise even if they do not deliver on them. as a pensioner and a driver they frighten me as a party and possibly as a motorist there policies in the past are the only ones to affect me and pensioners have never been big labour voters.

its the heat that would decide on where i,d move to. cannot stand it and in the cold you can add layers to your body but there is a limit on what you can take off it.

I am going to watch channel 4 coverage with Emily maitls, Rory Stewart, Alistair Campbell and the C4 newscaster who name I can't pronounce.

Probably got a new job lined up in California and wants to get over there in time so his kids are in school for the start of the new semester...

That's what worries me Mr Accy, I want change for the better and if Labour can achieve that then all well and good but talking of fright, will they frighten off investment in our economy just when it looks like it's entering calmer waters.
I can see why they've adopted the slogan for change as most people are saying it's time for a change but we need more info on the how when and why. I hope their idea of change doesn't include the emergence of the hard left led by the likes of Angela Raynor cos that certainly will cause fear.
I think we are in for a few surprises as we all know they mean well but tend to run out of ideas when they run out of other people's money. At the moment they are incessantly begging for more money from us members. I hope that attitude doesn't spill over to asking the taxpayer for more.
I really don't want us to jump from the frying pan into the fire.

Rishi does not want to be a war time prime minister - can see us getting involved with something in the middle east or even worse.. the Ukraine conflict - probably on the cusp of another cold war

From what I have read the Labour party have spent a lot of time courting industry etc. If they win this won't be a far left government.

If anyone says lets stop sending money to Ukraine/Israel/ Any of these foreign wars that are none of our business they get my vote---its telling that when it comes to doling out cash for endless proxy wars with Russia all the main parties are in lockstep--and the only people who benefit are the rich company directors making the bombs, and their mates in constriction when the cushy contracts are eventually doled out to help rebuild the countries we have helped destroy.

Oh and the politicians get to knock one out pretending they are Winston Churchill with facile comparisons to WW2

we have stopped looking after our own thats the problem - im sure we could all sit round the table and put the world well the UK to right. I could be there hours tbh with the list of things.... there is evidence to back all of this up too since the Tories took over. Aslong as someone is willing to put us first and like others have said stop wasting money and sending it all over then yeh im in too !

Prediction:
Will be won by a load of Tossers, Who care less than Raj does about the clubs fans.

Probably seen as Reform only seem interested in winning the GE in 4/5 years time.
,Dog eat Dog till then.

I agree anybody who is expecting change for the better is going to feel disappointed. And if there is another pandemic on an equal scale to the last or the Global upheaval we have faced recently will the government most people seem to want be able to cope. The hard left have gone to ground since Corbyn was wiped out but,make no mistake, they are still there and will expect to be rewarded for not rocking the boat which has normally frightened people off. I expect that, if they get in they will move heaven and high water to replace starmer with one of their own. Maybe even Angela Raynor God forbid.

Don't think it'll be Raynor but do expect to rise again to a senior figure in the party. My money would be on Jess Philips to replace Starmer within a year.

I see that Richard Tice is not standing in Hartlepool anymore, he has decided to stand in Boston & Skegness instead.

Dog eat Dog in the public eye, Then all in the Bar for drinkies behind closed doors.
Pissing themselves laughing MPs.

Some thoughts from me about political events. If anyone wants to ridicule well OK, remember I support Pools and always will despite the almost 60 years of ridicule until the presence of J Stelling gave some credence.

I was a boy soldier in 1969 and remember our sergeant telling us that the next war would be a chemical one so forget about being nuclear annihilated. I think that the so called covid thing was a dress rehearsal to see how the public would react. And now the powers that be know exactly. There are those who still go around with masks and they frighten me and those who strip the shelves. You get the picture we have all experienced it. The almost incestuous volunteering to be jabbed by a an untrusted, hastily put together vaccine and the warning was there for people when the government gave the drug companies immunity from paying compensation. Now we are hearing (very quietly) the idea of war being pushed. No talk of conscription (yet but militias and citizens army etc). The real army which I served in now apparently cannot field one division of soldiers. Because the powers that be know they won't need them. Meanwhile Russian threatens us over our involvement with Ukraine. Just yesterday the idea was pedalled of storing up to 3 days of food and water in cases of emergencies ( natural disasters etc). If you believe that you will believe that Pools will every game next season. Then again yesterday was the advice to tape up your windows. Now I seem to have heard that back in the 1950s and again around 1983 when Greenham Common and all that stuff was happening. We folks are being softened up for something none of us wants. I don't like polls cause they ask 5 Pools fans how they will fare OK you know what I mean. But do you remember again recently they put it to the public about who would be willing to fight in the event of the Russian hordes invading our shores. By now you are probably thinking I have lost the plot. Not true. That probably happened in 1965 when I moved to Peterlee to live and began my love affair with Pools. Look at the wider picture folks. When covid occurred I honestly believed it was a dummy run for a chemical warfare attack to see how the public would react. Remember all the ventilators being ordered from Horden Colliery to Honolu and those temporary wards for all the cases to be treated? A practice run my friends. Hope to be proved wrong and ridiculed. I will accept that. As for this election (if it happens) well I can see the so called Labour Party imploding over Gaza, not knowing what a woman is and their second most prominent one under crime scrutiny. I almost forgot that its not what Starmer says he will do but what he hasn't told anyone. The first one his ilk will do is to reverse the democratic vote to leave the undemocratic and foisted upon us EU. How long will it be until Pools turn out in a rainbow away strip. OK well that's enough to get you firing back. How will I vote? Well it will be for the party who protects and upholds our decision to get out of Bray's megaphone utopia. And who know what a woman is and pledges to rid us of woke nonsense and diversity stuff when the money which is there could be spend on helping people. The party who decides to re-nationalise the public utilities because they are too important to be put to private companies. The party who set out to build council houses and social housing and not so called affordable which are anything but to most people. The party that bans second homes when there are those with no roof over their head. Not sure still who to vote for. Cannot find anybody who ticks those boxes for me. Oh, and almost forgot. Secure our borders. They managed in 1939 as a German spy was as rare as a Darlo fan in Church Street. Message to Starmer and Rishi (if you are still leader when the election if it happens comes.) The Tory Macmillan government managed to build 300,000 council houses in one year. Finally, Pools. Stop this mind numbing cross field passing looking for openings and go back to taking people on attacking. Thank you all for reading.

Thailand is getting more expensive and I live in one of the most expensive areas. I don’t like the Philippines. So couldn’t live there. I’m not stuck on Asian food too much either. Sorting out my visa every year also gets on my ti@s but I guess there are always trade offs. I was back in England a few months ago and the constant rain just depressed me. I agree about health insurance being a problem. It’s the one thing I have no control over. The NHS do a great job but it’s just a matter of time before we have to start paying for it. I still pay tax in England by the way. Going back to the election probably be a landslide for labour but don’t think they will do any better.

What you’re essentially saying is that charity begins at home. I always say you should manage the countries finances like you would manage the finances of your family. Look after your own people first and if there is any left by all means help others.

Hartlepool will feature heavily in the MSM in the run up to the election, I expect an appearance of all 3 party leaders in the town maybe Farage as well. Who will the electorate who voted Tory last time vote for this time, I predict Tice to win with a narrow majority, Mortimer will lose because of the party she is a member of, the Labour candidate is to most people is a bit of an unknown although he lives in the town so that could be in his favour and being Labour might get him a few votes.

thats all fine if you had a direct choice between a party who would put britains first and keep out of overseas conflicts and foreign aid to one who is all in favour of doing that. again who ever gets into power with our voting system nothing is ever going to change on that score.

both labour and the liberals have one thing in common a big banner saying CHANGE and knocking what the tories have done without saying much of how they would have handled the same situations. know there are a few weeks still to go but i for one need to here more policies from them that are not just pie in the sky. still think sunak will lose the election more than starmer is going to win it. not a great look for our future.

Stammer won’t be in power long, I do believe his health is suffering, he has gone from a fine head of black hair to grey in less than 2 years which can be a sign of stress, he will walk saying he did what he set out to do, get Labour back in power. The question is who would succeed him, Rayner is there because she is the face of the working class as Prescott was with Blair, I couldn’t even begin to hazard a guess who his successor would be ?

thats the problem both parties have and why they are stuck with what they have got. neither of the present two are natural leaders and even worse there does not seem an obvious replacement for either. just shows how bland politics have become where unlike the past you cannot have a good old talk on who would make the best party leader of either.

Good ole Nige, Biggest wanker since blair.

Tice no longer standing in Hartlepool, he is now standing in Boston and Skegness which has a 25000 plus Tory majority.

I wonder who they will put up now in Hartlepool?

Tice stood in the 2019 GE coming third with 10600 votes, in 2021 John Prescott (not the John Prescott of Labour) stood in and come fifth with only 368 votes. If Reform want any chance of winning they require a candidate whose face the public are familiar with

Nicky Featherstone.

I can’t remember a MP representing Hartlepool who actually stood up and made a speech /statement in Parliament although Mortimer did a few months back but I can’t remember what it was about.

Sure it was about the oap who got murdered by that asylum seeker bastad.
After she got a bit of greef for being the invisible woman.

The Labour bloke seems quite vocal so if he gets in he may break the mold but you are right we need a big gob to put the town on the map. Failing a big gob the MP needs power of a cabinet minister who when there is a big employer looking to set it somewhere he says " I will have that" and Hartlepool gets it.

Regional policy for the new government should come with the strapline " F#ck the South.