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 Post subject: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 6:24 pm 
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Joined: Tue Dec 19, 2006 9:43 pm
Posts: 2256
Location: EX Hartlepool now in sunny Billingham
Surely nailed on :-D


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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 6:26 pm 
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Hope not.. Can do without the curse (although it didn't stop Danny Wilson winning it two months in a row)

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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 6:47 pm 
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Won 4 lost 2. I'm pretty sure better records, Wycombe for one.

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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 8:42 pm 
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Joined: Tue May 01, 2007 10:31 am
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Location: The South
No sure thing as the curse.

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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 8:56 pm 
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Tree_With_Hamster wrote:
Won 4 lost 2. I'm pretty sure better records, Wycombe for one.


But not from the position we were in at the beginning of March.


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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sat Mar 28, 2015 9:07 pm 
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GeoffcN wrote:
Tree_With_Hamster wrote:
Won 4 lost 2. I'm pretty sure better records, Wycombe for one.


But not from the position we were in at the beginning of March.


I'm pointing out teams in our league have better records in March. Which is true.

Why are you sending me PMs and then deleting them?

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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2015 12:50 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:00 pm
Posts: 6
ptbap wrote:
No sure thing as the curse.

^
It's simple regression to the mean. If a team is enjoying an unusually good run of form due to chance, then they're unlikely to do just as well in the next month. The "curse" is simply the product of most of football being outside of the manager's control, and the award not recognising that.

If you've actually turned the corner, then the award will make no difference. Steve Coppell's wins never affected Reading's form because we actually had a ridiculously good team. Adam Le Fondre would always win the player's award in January and then have a dry February, because his form depended on the ball bouncing just right and the referee overlooking casual handballs.

Moore deserves it. You looked absolutely dead a month ago, now you're on course for safety.


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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2015 2:11 pm 
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ReadingFan wrote:
ptbap wrote:
No sure thing as the curse.

^
It's simple regression to the mean. If a team is enjoying an unusually good run of form due to chance, then they're unlikely to do just as well in the next month. The "curse" is simply the product of most of football being outside of the manager's control, and the award not recognising that.

If you've actually turned the corner, then the award will make no difference. Steve Coppell's wins never affected Reading's form because we actually had a ridiculously good team. Adam Le Fondre would always win the player's award in January and then have a dry February, because his form depended on the ball bouncing just right and the referee overlooking casual handballs.

Moore deserves it. You looked absolutely dead a month ago, now you're on course for safety.

Burn him, doubting the curse amounts to witchcraft.


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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2015 2:24 pm 
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Joined: Tue Aug 21, 2012 11:29 pm
Posts: 574
Nah he's talking statistics, I like him.

P.S. Thanks for Tshibola, the lad has gone from strength to strength. I wasn't overly impressed at first but he's been quality recently. Yesterday in particular he was great!


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 Post subject: Re: Manager of the month
PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2015 2:31 pm 
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Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2014 9:31 pm
Posts: 6028
Can't see any statistics, did you mean facts? :-D

Got to agree, Tshibola will play Championship at least.


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