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 Post subject: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 10:14 am 
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This setup will last no more than a few months so prepare for a re-run in the autumn.


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 10:27 am 
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offshorepoolie wrote:
concuring... no matter who formsthe government.. hopefully they'll get rid of this barmy system and we'll never get in this position again!


But the barmier system that's being proposed would lead to this more often. :roll:

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 10:44 am 
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chip fireball wrote:
hung parliaments work everywhere else in europe so dont know why they cant work here.

if labour have any sense they will get rid of brown, stand aside and give the country 12 months of cameron before toppling him, and then get everyone back to the polls next year.

one things for sure, if cameron cant win a majority in the current climate he never will. :grin:


That sounds like a plan.

In the 12 months that you talk about people will be able to see if the Conservatives can be trusted or not rather than being judged on and the Labour and LibNuts always scaremongering on the theme that they're the same as they were in the 1980s which could therefore encourage or discourage some waverers who weren't convinced this time around.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 10:47 am 
Mr Ripper wrote:
chip fireball wrote:
hung parliaments work everywhere else in europe so dont know why they cant work here.

if labour have any sense they will get rid of brown, stand aside and give the country 12 months of cameron before toppling him, and then get everyone back to the polls next year.

one things for sure, if cameron cant win a majority in the current climate he never will. :grin:


That sounds like a plan.

In the 12 months that you talk about people will be able to see if the Conservatives can be trusted or not rather than being judged on and the Labour and LibNuts always scaremongering on the theme that they're the same as they were in the 1980s which could therefore encourage or discourage some waverers who weren't convinced this time around.



The Tories could always ditch Cameron & get someone who is man enough for the job


Christ, he couldn't even get over 300 seats


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:06 am 
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chip fireball wrote:
ripper , whoever takes over is gonna be deeply, deeply, unpopular with the electorate over the next 12 months. and a tory government having to rely on support from the liberals isnt going to be able to get through any changes involving vat increases or swingeing cuts to public services. they will also have to cope with speculators betting against sterling knowing that the tories cant cut the budget deficit..

bottom line is that its an election labour didnt want to win. if they did they would have dumped brown last year.

That is just about spot on, but Cameron is daft enough to try and piss into the wind. The country accelerates rapidly downhill from the minute he gets the keys to number ten.
I said weeks ago that I wasn't sure about Cameron and apparently neither are the country.
Gordon Brown will fade away now, which can only help the Labour party. Therefore, even from that front, more misery will be poured onto Cameron.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:31 am 
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Whilst I agree with some of the sentiments in the last couple of posts, especially about the unpopularity of whoever has to make the first round of big cuts, the fact that whoever does it (Conservative or Labour) will be doing it from a minority position could actually help their cause in a new election in 6-18 months time as they can claim that they're not solely responsible and that if they had overall control then things would be a bit different.

Time will tell, all I know is that the next few months aint gonna be pretty.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:32 am 
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chip fireball wrote:
almost all the labour top bods got re-elected, suggesting that while the country may dislike gordon brown, it still has its core support.


It doesn't suggest anything of the sort. The only thing it suggests is that like all parties, the top bods are gifted the safest seats. Example a: Mandelson in Hartlepool.


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:43 am 
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The problem is that when a party starts dealing with minority parties in order to form a government then those dealings inevitably will mean watering down its own policies to accomodate minority demands.
Isn't that actually letting their supporters down???? After all those supporters voted for something that they are now going to be denied.
That is the problem with doing deals in smoke filled rooms.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:55 am 
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Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!

If I were he I would go straight back to the electorate and risk all on getting a mandate. If he dithers about wheeling and dealing it could do him untold damage.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 11:56 am 
Quote:

however you look at it, the big loser last night was cameron. he should have pissed this election ( he was 1/4 with the bookies as recently as 6 weeks ago to get a majority ) and still gnashed it up somehow.



I've said this several times today and over the past few weeks



But my name ain't chip


And Ripper owes me a drink

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 12:38 pm 
derwent wrote:
Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!

If I were he I would go straight back to the electorate and risk all on getting a mandate. If he dithers about wheeling and dealing it could do him untold damage.



According to the Tories being interviewed on BBC1 right now, they believe they have a working majority and do need support from other parties


Glue sniffing is still the order of the day for some


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 12:43 pm 
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TalbotAvenger wrote:
And Ripper owes me a drink


I believe that you may be correct.

I'll stand the bet in the Mill before or after a Pools game next season (whichever division we happen to be playing in).

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 1:32 pm 
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chip fireball wrote:
surely cameron doesnt have the authority to call another election just yet ?

my understanding is that the current prime minister has a legal duty to try and form a governement first sctatchinghead sctatchinghead .



Labour have the chance to form a co-alition 1st.

If not the Tories can try.

If neither happens then the Tories can try and run with a tiny majority and risk losing big votes meaning an election will be needed within 12 months.

Once (If) Brown steps down as Prime Minister and formally tells the Queen, she and only she can invite another leader to be Prime Minister. So technically Labour could form a partnership with the Lib Dems and we could still get shot of winky.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 2:10 pm 
Mr Ripper wrote:
TalbotAvenger wrote:
And Ripper owes me a drink


I believe that you may be correct.

I'll stand the bet in the Mill before or after a Pools game next season (whichever division we happen to be playing in).


There's no chance at all of getting a drink out of Mr Ripper. He promised me one a couple of years back, as a peace offering, but I haven't had it yet.
Also, by next season he'll have lost his job because of the Tories, so will have no money at all.


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:08 pm 
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grabec wrote:
Mr Ripper wrote:
TalbotAvenger wrote:
And Ripper owes me a drink


I believe that you may be correct.

I'll stand the bet in the Mill before or after a Pools game next season (whichever division we happen to be playing in).


There's no chance at all of getting a drink out of Mr Ripper. He promised me one a couple of years back, as a peace offering, but I haven't had it yet.
Also, by next season he'll have lost his job because of the Tories, so will have no money at all.


Ms G, I've never met you. If I ever do I'll be more than pleased to get you a drink.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:13 pm 
I know you haven't. The offer was via this message board. :wink:

Damn...wish I'd taken a photocopy now...


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:14 pm 
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Mrs G I offered you a drink on here once, when are we going to meet up for it :wink:

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:17 pm 
I knew you'd renew the promise just when you're off to the States. :evil:


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:33 pm 
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chip fireball wrote:
derwent wrote:
Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!

If I were he I would go straight back to the electorate and risk all on getting a mandate. If he dithers about wheeling and dealing it could do him untold damage.


surely cameron doesnt have the authority to call another election just yet ?

my understanding is that the current prime minister has a legal duty to try and form a governement first sctatchinghead sctatchinghead .

either way brown is dead in the water and i suspect cameron probably wont be far behind him.

Obviously he can't call an election, but what he can do is to say as we have not got a mandate we don't want to form a government until we get one. That would leave the only option left to be an unholy alliance with a whole bunch of others led by Brown, which possibly wouldn't last five minutes. That would give Cameron the chance to get a mandate. That for me is his only chance of avoiding meltdown in twelve months time, which I think will happen if he tries to govern.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:37 pm 
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derwent wrote:
Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!



There was a very good essay in the last London of Review of Books predicting predicting something like this if Cameron didn't win big.

Cameron needed to win big given the state of the public finances. He didn't, and is therefore in trouble. Remember, Thatcher only really managed freezes in public spending (and therefore real cuts); Cameron needs to go much, much further. He either fails to issue the cuts and the markets force us into recession again or he does, and becomes incredibly unpopular. Either way, whoever is propping up the government will then probably pull the plug, another election results and the Tories lose. If I were a Tory supporter, I'd want a Lib/Lab deal so the same could happen to them.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:43 pm 
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chip fireball wrote:
derwent wrote:
Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!

If I were he I would go straight back to the electorate and risk all on getting a mandate. If he dithers about wheeling and dealing it could do him untold damage.


surely cameron doesnt have the authority to call another election just yet ?



Constitutional conventions suggest that if he failed to form a government and went to the Queen to ask to dissolve parliament (formally, she makes the decision), the Queen would in all likelihood refuse and ask the leader of Labour to try and form a government (whoever that is).

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:45 pm 
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The Fat Man wrote:
derwent wrote:
Breaking news is telling us that a sizeable number of Tory MPs are very critical of the manner in which their Party's campaign was conducted and that no way would they consider electoral reform.
Potential trouble for Cameron is also coming from his own party. Those men in grey suits are gathering !!!!!!!!!!!!



There was a very good essay in the last London of Review of Books predicting predicting something like this if Cameron didn't win big.

Cameron needed to win big given the state of the public finances. He didn't, and is therefore in trouble. Remember, Thatcher only really managed freezes in public spending (and therefore real cuts); Cameron needs to go much, much further. He either fails to issue the cuts and the markets force us into recession again or he does, and becomes incredibly unpopular. Either way, whoever is propping up the government will then probably pull the plug, another election results and the Tories lose. If I were a Tory supporter, I'd want a Lib/Lab deal so the same could happen to them.

I agree.
From a Tory point of view it would be potentially disastrous for them if Cameron tries to form a government without an overall majority.
I would be extremely surprised if there wasn't a backlash within his own party against being silly just to get power.
Cameron is so desperate for power that he seemingly can't see past his nose end.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:48 pm 
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grabec wrote:
I know you haven't. The offer was via this message board. :wink:

Damn...wish I'd taken a photocopy now...


Well I'll repeat the offer anyhow Ms G- if or when I ever meet you I'd be more than happy to get you a drink. Dunno who you are though so somebody would need to introduce us!

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:50 pm 
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Mr Ripper wrote:
grabec wrote:
I know you haven't. The offer was via this message board. :wink:

Damn...wish I'd taken a photocopy now...


Well I'll repeat the offer anyhow Ms G- if or when I ever meet you I'd be more than happy to get you a drink. Dunno who you are though so somebody would need to introduce us!


She is the sexy one that goes to the match so that should narrow it down :laugh:

You have never bought me a pint

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:55 pm 
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Compo wrote:
Mr Ripper wrote:
grabec wrote:
I know you haven't. The offer was via this message board. :wink:

Damn...wish I'd taken a photocopy now...


Well I'll repeat the offer anyhow Ms G- if or when I ever meet you I'd be more than happy to get you a drink. Dunno who you are though so somebody would need to introduce us!


She is the sexy one that goes to the match so that should narrow it down :laugh:

You have never bought me a pint


Are you a laydee?

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:56 pm 
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Grabec is gorgeous.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 4:10 pm 
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derwent wrote:
Grabec is gorgeous.


I think we need a pic

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 4:19 pm 
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Why does it matter what Ms G looks like? Surely, given this is a message board, all that matters is what she posts (and it's usually worthwhile Reading)?

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 4:36 pm 
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its a joke fat man, we all know mrs g talks a lot of sence, sometimes I dont agree with her and have had a few discussions in the past however she is a valued member of the board (more than me), she cant help it is she is a looker :laugh:

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 4:43 pm 
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Compo wrote:
its a joke fat man, we all know mrs g talks a lot of sence, sometimes I dont agree with her and have had a few discussions in the past however she is a valued member of the board (more than me), she cant help it is she is a looker :laugh:

Amen.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 4:47 pm 
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Compo wrote:
derwent wrote:
Grabec is gorgeous.


I think we need a pic


Image

Just behind Ripper on the right edge of the picture?

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 5:23 pm 
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But Ripper is only half on that picture Mr Billog, is Mrs G the one with half a face as well sctatchinghead


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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 5:34 pm 
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Fensy wrote:
But Ripper is only half on that picture Mr Billog, is Mrs G the one with half a face as well sctatchinghead


I think so, if I remember correctly, from when it was taken at the outdoor Passion Killers performance.

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 Post subject: Re: General Election 2010 (part ii)
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 10:50 pm 
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Compo wrote:
its a joke fat man


Well it's a piss poor one. I'm prepared for the 'pinko leftie' jibes, but the implication in your 'joke' is extremely sexist.

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